Friday, October 26, 2012

USAFL Week 8 Point Spreads

Week 7 Accuracy: 58% (7 out of 11)
Season Accuracy: 71% (60 out of 84)

+02 New York (N) (5-2) at Detroit (6-1)
Giants lost a heartbreaker to Chicago last week. They can't afford to slip too far behind the Redskin juggernaut.

+02 Miami (1-6) at Cincinnati (1-6)
Long losing streaks for both teams.

+02 Chicago (4-3) vs Cleveland (4-3)
Two excellent defenses. Should be a great game.

+03 Green Bay (4-3) vs Pittsburgh (4-3)
 Packer WR injury issues and Steeler run defense tilt to visitor advantage.


+03 Denver (1-6) vs New York (A) (1-5-1)
Jets' Michael Vick is the hottest QB in the league the past two games: 7 TDs, 36 of 56 for 583 yds, 2 INTs, average QB rating of 120. Bronco's is starting 3rd stringer QB Tyler Palco for the 5th game in a row while Bradford and Campbell recover from injuries.

+04 Houston (2-5) vs Boston (5-2) 
Patriot win count is padded with defeats of lesser teams but last week's upset of San Diego was impressive. An 11-5 or 12-4 record is not out of the question, far better than the predicted 7-9.

+02 Kansas City (3-4) vs Buffalo (3-3-1)
Bills shocked 7 point favorite Oakland last week, shutting them out for the first 35 minutes.

+06 Atlanta (6-1) at San Diego (6-1)
What a game. Atlanta's backup QB Matt Hasselbeck has ripped defenses the past two games and the defense is one of the best in the league. Chargers were upset big time last week against Boston, QB Rivers completed less than 50% of his passes.

+10 Philadelphia (1-6) at San Francisco (3-4)
Eagle defense is no match for QB Matt Ryan.

+10 Oakland (5-2) vs Carolina (7-0)
This just shows how good the Panthers really are.

+11 Dallas (2-5) at Baltimore (2-5)
Colts have an excellent pass defense. Run defense? Not-so-good.

+14 Minnesota (1-6) vs Washington (6-1)
Redskins build on lead in the NFC East.

Friday, October 19, 2012

USAFL Week 7 Point Spreads


Week 6 Accuracy: 91% (11 out of 12)
Season Accuracy: 74% (53 out of 72)

+01 Pittsburgh (3-3) vs San Francisco (3-3)
Two powerful offenses. 49er defense is terrible but somehow squeaks a win.

+03 Houston (2-4) at New York (A) (0-5-1)
Jets have a shot at getting one into the air.

+03 Dallas (1-5) vs Minnesota (1-5)
Vikings slay Cowboys.

+03 Baltimore (2-4) at Cleveland (3-3)
Brown defense is TOUGH.

+07 Chicago (3-3) at New York (N) (5-1)
QB Matt Sanchez of da Bears one of the worst QBs but that's okay, Giants pass defense is allowing almost 300 yards a game. 

+07 Buffalo (2-3-1) vs Oakland (5-1)
Closer spread than you'd expect. Raiders hurting at OLB.

+08 Cincinnati (1-5) at Atlanta (5-1)
Bengal defense has only allowed 18 points total in last two games. Unfortunately, their offense only scored 9 points.

+09 Philadelphia (1-5) vs Detroit (5-1)
Eagle defense allowing 32 points a game.

+10 Miami (1-5) vs Kansas City (2-4)
Stafford to Cruz for the Chiefs.

+13 Green Bay (4-2) at Washington (5-1)
Packers must have successful ground game to stay in this one.

+14 Boston (4-2) vs San Diego (6-0)
Like Green Bay, if Patriots fail running the ball, it's a blowout.

+17 Denver (1-5) at Carolina (6-0)
Broncos have no bucking, they are below average and worse in every offensive category.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

USAFL Week 6 Point Spreads

Week 5 Accuracy: 66% (8 out of 12)
Season Accuracy: 70% (42 out of 60)

+01 Buffalo (1-3-1) at Denver (1-4)
Bills one bright spot is running game led by Jonathan Stewart and Donald Brown

+01 Cincinnati (1-4) vs Boston (3-2)
Could be a great game. Patriots have a winning streak, Cincy plays close.

+03 Miami (1-4) at Oakland (4-1)
Dolphins are under the water to their potential.

+03 Pittsburgh (3-2) at Detroit (4-1)
QB Jay Cutler is out for the Lions. Tough win.

+03 Baltimore (2-3) vs New York (N) (4-1)
Interesting matchup. Colts good pass defense against Giants air game. Secondary of NYG is decimated with injuries.

+03 Kansas City (2-3) vs Atlanta (4-1)
Chiefs end a brutal 3 game stretch. 

+06 Minnesota (1-4) vs Cleveland (2-3)
Vikings have top scoring runner (Frank Gore). Browns have top yards rusher (Steven Jackson). But neither has much else.

+07 Dallas (1-4) at Green Bay (3-2)
Cowboys are unowned. The New York Giants owner, a resident of Dallas, has petitioned the Commissioner for a name swap to no avail. 

+10 San Francisco (3-2) vs Washington (4-1)
49er aggressive defense gets turnovers but gives up a lot of yards...and points.

+10 Philadelphia (1-4) at Chicago (2-3)
Bears are a bit schizophrenic this year. Hopefully, they won't hibernate early.

+17 Houston (2-3) vs Carolina (5-0)
Panthers are dominating opponents on both sides of the ball.

+21 New York (A) (0-4-1) at San Diego (5-0)
Jets grounded by Charger Lightning. QB Mike Vick is playing terribly.

Friday, October 5, 2012

USAFL Week 5 Point Spreads

Week 4 Accuracy: 83% (10 out of 12)
Season Accuracy: 71% (34 out of 48)


+03 Pittsburgh (2-2) at New York (N) (4-0)
Injuries have decimated Giants secondary and Steelers RB squad.

+03 Kansas City (2-2) at San Diego (4-0)
Chiefs great passing game talent should have more than 7 TDs.

+03 Philadelphia (0-4) vs Dallas (1-3)
Which losing streak broken? Dallas's 3 in a row or Philly's 4 in a row.

+03 Denver (0-4) at Cincinnati (1-3)
The Bengals consistently beat the spread but losing. A sign of good coaching, bad talent.

+03 Chicago (1-3) vs Green Bay (3-1)
GB RB Ray Rice gets 100+ and 2 TDs.

+03 Buffalo (1-2-1) at Boston (2-2)
Patriot QB Joe Flacco had a great game last week and should have one this week.

+03 Baltimore (2-2) at Detroit (3-1)
Lions have been roaring since Week 1 embarrassing loss to SF.

+07 Minnesota (1-3) at San Francisco (2-2)
.49ers recover from bruising by the Packers.

+07 Houston (2-2) vs Oakland (3-1)
Interesting matchup. Both offenses are good where opponents' defenses are not so good.

+07  New York (A) (0-3-1) vs Atlanta (3-1)
Jets never get off the runway against good teams.

+10 Cleveland (2-2) at Washington (3-1)
Two Matts, Cassel and Forte, are out for the Browns. That hurts.

+21 Miami (1-3) at Carolina (4-0)
This season's probable Super Bowl MVP, Tony Romo, is completing 74.6% of his passes.