Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Brutal Battle Looms for Championship

Analysis of the results of 20 simulated seasons using current rosters (current as of pick 1.23) shows one of the most competitive races for the USAFL Championship Trophy in several years, especially on the NFC side. Although these results are preliminary, they usually are close to the actual season results. A final pre-season run of simulations will be done after the draft and will be used for the season point spreads.

In reverse order...

24. Philadelphia (3-13). Andrew Luck takes care of the QB hole but almost nothing at RB,WR and S.

23. Buffalo (3-13). Needs a running back and a defensive line. Big drop from last season's 7-8-1 team.

22. Minnesota (3-13). Too many weaknesses but LB Luke Kuechly fills one.

21. Baltimore (3-13). With brittle Kevin Kolb at the helm, Colts are going nowhere this year.

20. Cincinnati (4-12). Couldn't pass up QB Russell Wilson with the 6th pick, even with Bradford in house.

19. Houston (4-12). Confusing pick of S Stevie Brown instead of RB Alfred Morris.

18. Dallas (5-11). A good QB would make a huge difference. A lot of good players on the Cowboys.

17. NY Jets (5-11). RGIII is a great start. Needs a lot of help on defense.

16. Pittsburgh (6-10). First season without double digit wins? Gonna see a lot of Double TE sets.

15. Miami (7-9). Best season since 2008. Pieces coming into place.

14. Boston (8-8). Amassed 3 picks in the first round. Young roster on the rise.

13. Chicago (8-8). Decent talent, well coached. Outside chance at a playoff spot.

12. Kansas City (8-8). Needs ATL or OAK to slide down for any playoffs hopes.

11. Detroit (9-7). Overshadowed by GB and SF in division.

10. Atlanta (10-6). Studly defense but offense fails to pack a punch.

9. Oakland (10-6). Powerful passing attack.

8. San Francisco (11-5). Will duke it out with GB for division.

7. Green Bay (11-5). Always fields a solid team season after season.

6. Carolina (11-5). Last season's SB runner-up, not as good but still an excellent team.

5. Cleveland (11-5). First time in the playoffs ever.

4. Denver (11-5). Back in the playoffs after a year absence.

3. NY Giants (13-3). Curse you Redskins!

2. Washington (13-3). Will repeat as USAFL Champions, defeating San Diego in SB IX.

1. San Diego (14-2). Will lose to Washington in SB IX