Wednesday, August 28, 2013

USAFL Week 1 Point Spreads

+01 Oakland vs Denver
Exciting matchup to kickoff the season.

+01 Minnesota vs Green Bay
Close point spread for teams expected to be 6-10 and 9-7.

+03 Cincinnati vs Kansas City
Owner Nick Lianos supercharged the Chiefs last season, going from 2 wins in 2011 to 9 wins. Should do well again this year.

+03 Baltimore at Chicago
Both teams expected to be at bottom of their division this year.

+06 Boston vs Atlanta
Falcons will be in tough battle with Carolina for division crown. Must be careful in opening game.

+06 Detroit at San Francisco
The 49ers are one very talented team.

+07 Houston vs San Diego
The Oilers are a decent team in a great division with the Chargers as top dog.

+07 Buffalo at Miami
Bills slide from last year's 7-8-1 team.

+09 Philadelphia vs New York (N)
Eagles should do much better than 2 wins this season but wins against NYG and WAS will be tough to pull off.

+10 New York (A) at Carolina
Like the Eagles, the Jets should be improved but they won't stop the Panthers.

+14 Pittsburgh at Washington
The Steelers have never had single digit wins in a season but this could be the first.

+17 Dallas at Cleveland
The Browns can give division mates NYG and WAS trouble and make a run for the division crown.

Monday, August 19, 2013

Super Bowl IX : Redskins - Chargers?

Latest results of 40 seasons of simulations using the pre-season rosters. The numbers are showing a lot of opportunity for dramatic runs to the playoffs but San Diego and Washington stand out with San Francisco very close behind. These three will emerge among the rest by the end of the season.

AFC Overview

The Chargers are easily identified as the best team in the AFC. Denver is the closest competitor in the conference but, in the end, does not match up well with the #1 defense the league.

Atlanta and Carolina will scratch and claw for the AFC East crown, it could go either way with Carolina having a tiny advantage. Oakland and Kansas City will fight for the last wild card slot. 

AFC Central
1. x -San Diego (13-3)
2. z - Denver (10-6)
3. z -Oakland (9-7)
4. z -Kansas City (9-7)
5. Houston (7-9)
6. Cincinnati (6-10)

AFC East
1. y -Carolina (10-6)
2. z -Atlanta (10-6)
3. New York Jets (6-10)
4. Miami (6-10)
5. Boston (6-10)
6. Buffalo (4-12)

NFC Overview

Washington and San Francisco stand out in this conference with the 49ers bringing the best offense in the league onto the field but the simulation gives Washington a 5 point advantage at home during the season.

Next up are the New York Giants who should give the Redskins a couple of good games but who look like they are not on the same tier as them or SF. Cleveland, Green Bay and Detroit are the contenders for the two remaining playoff spots. The Lions are showing as slight favorites in both games against the Packers but the Browns are favored over them but underdogs at the Packers. 

NFC Central
1. y - San Francisco (12-4)
2. z - Detroit (9-7)
3. z - Green Bay (9-7)
4. Minnesota (6-10)
5. Baltimore (6-10)
6. Chicago (5-11)

NFC East
1. x - Washington (13-3)
2. z - New York Giants (11-5)
3. z -Cleveland (9-7)
4. Pittsburgh (7-9)
5. Philadelphia (7-9)
6. Dallas (2-14)

x - Predicted Division Winner and Conference Champion
y - Predicted Division Winner
z - Best Potential Wild Card Teams