Monday, August 19, 2013

Super Bowl IX : Redskins - Chargers?

Latest results of 40 seasons of simulations using the pre-season rosters. The numbers are showing a lot of opportunity for dramatic runs to the playoffs but San Diego and Washington stand out with San Francisco very close behind. These three will emerge among the rest by the end of the season.

AFC Overview

The Chargers are easily identified as the best team in the AFC. Denver is the closest competitor in the conference but, in the end, does not match up well with the #1 defense the league.

Atlanta and Carolina will scratch and claw for the AFC East crown, it could go either way with Carolina having a tiny advantage. Oakland and Kansas City will fight for the last wild card slot. 

AFC Central
1. x -San Diego (13-3)
2. z - Denver (10-6)
3. z -Oakland (9-7)
4. z -Kansas City (9-7)
5. Houston (7-9)
6. Cincinnati (6-10)

AFC East
1. y -Carolina (10-6)
2. z -Atlanta (10-6)
3. New York Jets (6-10)
4. Miami (6-10)
5. Boston (6-10)
6. Buffalo (4-12)

NFC Overview

Washington and San Francisco stand out in this conference with the 49ers bringing the best offense in the league onto the field but the simulation gives Washington a 5 point advantage at home during the season.

Next up are the New York Giants who should give the Redskins a couple of good games but who look like they are not on the same tier as them or SF. Cleveland, Green Bay and Detroit are the contenders for the two remaining playoff spots. The Lions are showing as slight favorites in both games against the Packers but the Browns are favored over them but underdogs at the Packers. 

NFC Central
1. y - San Francisco (12-4)
2. z - Detroit (9-7)
3. z - Green Bay (9-7)
4. Minnesota (6-10)
5. Baltimore (6-10)
6. Chicago (5-11)

NFC East
1. x - Washington (13-3)
2. z - New York Giants (11-5)
3. z -Cleveland (9-7)
4. Pittsburgh (7-9)
5. Philadelphia (7-9)
6. Dallas (2-14)

x - Predicted Division Winner and Conference Champion
y - Predicted Division Winner
z - Best Potential Wild Card Teams

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