Super Bowl : Donelson Warriors vs Fresno Outlaws

So, right off the bat: Does Fresno even have a chance against Donelson? Answer: Yes. Is it likely? Answer: No. Very unlikely, in fact. Here are the facts: Fresno Offense vs Donelson Defense The 12.4 points allowed by the Donelson defense puts them among the top 10 defenses of all time in the TTFBA. Their lineup is a Who's Who of defensive players. The basic 4-3 defense that the Warriors deploy 68% of the time is rated 1st overall, run, rush, interceptions and sacks. In pass defense points they are 2nd by only 1 point to Real Charleston. The defense points overwhelm the blocking capability of the Outlaws. Fresno's blocking points are ranked 13th for the run and 19th protecting the QB. But QB Donovan McNabb is among the best QBs in the league and his INT and sack numbers are very low. WR Roddy White is his primary target (95 receptions, 11 TDs) followed by TE Owen Daniels (71 receptions, 6 TDs). RB Maurice Jones-Drew is the primary rusher with an unimpressive 3.9 average but an impressive 15 TDs, the top RB scorer in the league. Fresno has the 2nd ranked scoring offense in the league behind only Donelson, scoring 27.4 points per game. They consume a lot of real estate, especially through the air so the clash between these teams when Fresno has the ball should be exciting. Donelson Offense vs Fresno Defense Fresno's primary platoon is 3-4 which they use 38% of the time. Half of the time they are in a Nickel, Dime or Quarter defense, as the offense scores so much that opposing offenses are constantly in catchup mode. The talent is average, the highest area of rating points in pass defense points where they rank 7th with 36. But they are aggressive and cause teams to turn the ball over - a total of 39 times, the best in the league. But they are vulnerable on the ground. RB Derrick Ward leads the best running game in the league. QB Philip Rivers, the best QB in the league spreads the wealth among a receiving corps containing 4 WRs and 2 TEs that have starter reception counts. It's such a target rich environment that there is a Warrior WR is not among the top 25 in receptions. Antonio Bryant comes in 26th with 69 receptions. On top of the best running game and the best passing game, they also have on of the best offensive lines in the league. The beef they have gives them 41 pass protection points, which is THE best in the league. They are 4th for run blocking. However, if there is a weakness in Donelson, it is their propensity to turn the ball over which they did 20 times during the season. Philips is the main culprit, he threw 13 interceptions and fumbled 6 times. Ward only had one fumble. Backup RB Ricky Williams had 4 so maybe Tashard Choice would be the best guy to give Ward a breather. Donelson only turned it over once during 2 post season games and that was against Wausau, who didn't blitz very much. Denver, their other post season opponent, came after Philips several times with no luck and no turnovers. Final Analysis Donelson by 13. Final score: DON 27, FRE 14