Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Prediction Process

The predictions are based on the results of 40 simulated seasons using the actual schedule. Kudos to Chad getting a schedule together so quickly this year. The depth charts and lineups are computer generated then the charts and lineups for each team are checked. In some cases, the depth chart and lineup for a team is modified. If there's a problem it's usually in the RB depth chart and, less often, the QB lineup. After the depth charts and lineups are checked, the coaching profile is computer generated.

An automation program runs Action. After each season, it has Action print out the final standings and schedule reports to files. Then it resets the schedule, resets the players 16 weeks and does it all over again. I have written a program that reads these reports and generates a master report based on the results. I use this same program to create the weekly point spreads using the schedule reports from the 40 seasons that show the scores from all the games.

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