Monday, November 16, 2009

Week 13 Point Spreads

Week 12 Accuracy: 7 out of 12 (58%)
Season Accuracy: 94 out of 144 (65%)
 
This week we introduce a weighted point spread based on how teams fared against the basic point spread in prior games. If the weighted spread is less than the basic spread, it means the underdog coach has done better against the spread than the favored coach. If the weighted spread is higher, then the favored coach has done better. If the weighted spread is the same, then both coaches have had similiar success against the spread.
 
Consider the weighted spread to be experimental at this point, the formula may be adjusted based on results. Weighted spreads are in parentheses.
 
+2 (+6)  San Pedro(C) (2-10) vs Montcalm (8-4)
+3 (+5)  Dayton (5-7) at Denver (9-3)
+4 (+4)  Great Lakes (8-4) vs Real Charleston (7-5)
+5 (+1)  Transylvania (4-8) at San Pedro(B) (6-6)
+5 (+7)   Death Valley (4-8) at Dallas (9-3)
+6 (+11) San Diego (4-8) vs Fresno (10-2)
+8 (+8)  Tillman (8-4) at Hermitage (8-4)
+8 (+8)   NW Missouri (3-9) at Knoxville (3-9)
+9 (+7)   SoCal (3-9) vs New England (6-6)
+10 (+7) Nashville (5-7) vs Steeltown (5-7)
+12 (+13) Mt. Pilot (5-7) at Wausau (7-5)
+16 (+20) North Carolina (3-9) at Donelson (12-0)

1 comment:

Unknown said...

The Force have pulled off another upset this week.

I like the new point spread system (with the spread being higher / lower based on coaches).

Good work, Greg.