Monday, December 8, 2008

Last Line of Defense Against Tillman - Muncie Packers

The Packers are currently second behind Nashville as a potential spoiler to Tillman but I expect that to change this week as they are supplanted by Great Lakes who are 16 point favorites in a division matchup. Two of their three losses were to Nashville, the other loss was to a 2-4 team, Philadelphia 20-14. Of course, Philly has gone on to an 8-5 record and has become a contender for the Sanders division crown winning 8 out of their last 9 games. But that's another story...
 
That offense is a problem. Peyton Manning is having a subpar year. He's on a pace for less than 20 TD passes compared to 31 he's capable of. His INT and sack count already exceed his real life numbers. The Packers are 8th in rushing yards but the average per carry is terrible: 3.6 yds. All this points to a weak group of supporting characters: the O-line and receivers. Donald Driver is exceeding expectations with 8 TD receptions but he and Reggie Brown do not strike terror in the heart of opposing defenses, esp. with a suspect running game.
 
Muncie's strength is on defense, tops in the league at points allowed, allowing only a smidge (geek speak) over 11 points per game. Tillman is second at 13.6. None of their losses were blowouts because the defense kept them in it usually to the very end. Manning may have a terrible day but the defense keeps it interesting. They took advantage of turnovers in their first game with Great Lakes. This week's game will be a different story.
 
 
Muncie Packers
Current Record: 10-3
Offense Ranking: 11
Rushing Rank (Yards): 8
Passing Rank (Yards): 15
Defense Ranking: 1
Run Defense Rank (Yards): 4
Pass Defense Rank (Yards): 2
Records of Opponents: 88-81
Common Opponents with Tillman: NCT, DAY, NE, DAK, GLM, NAS, FRE
Record vs Common Opponents: 6-2 (Lost to NAS twice.)
Avg Scores vs Common Opponents: MUN 21.8-9.7, TIL 30.1- 9.9

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