Tuesday, December 9, 2008

TTFBA Week 15 Point Spreads

Week 14 Accuracy: 10 out of 12 (83%)
Season Accuracy: 118 out of 168 (70%)
 
Payton Conference Playoff Outlook
Some great playoff situations. NWM has locked in the first seed and then...well, there's a bunch of other teams. The Harris division trio of Ohio, Dakota and Knoxville is similiar to Oklahoma, Texas and Texas Tech. Knoxville has swept Ohio. Dakota has swept Knoxville. Ohio has defeated Dakota. Week 16: Ohio at Dakota could be critical. However, Dakota has their hands full with NW Missouri this week. Hermitage has San Pedro and Philadelphia breathing down their necks in the other division. 
 
Simpson "No Plea for Me" Conference
Tillman and Nashville are locked in at first and second seeds. Nashville is two games up on Great Lakes but even if they lose out and Great Lakes wins out (including a win over the Force in week 16) they would lose the tiebreaker because of the week 1 loss to Muncie. Steeltown, Great Lakes and Muncie should be the 3rd, 4th and 5th seeds respectively. Montcalm or Fresno will be the final seed. Fresno's last 2 games are tougher but Montcalm does have to deal with a resurrected Philadelphia.
 
+1 Knoxville (7-7) at Transylvania (5-9)
Harris division is possible for Knoxville.
+2 Steeltown (10-4) vs Nashville (13-1)
A RoughCut win or Fresno loss gives Riggins crown to Steeltown
+3 Mt. Pilot (2-12) vs Ohio (7-7)
Ohio in 3 way tie with Knoxville and Dakota.
+3 Death Valley (2-12) vs Muncie (10-4)
Interesting spread. Still, Packers look good for wild card slot
+3 Real Charleston (2-12) vs Dallas (4-10)
These games slay me. I lose more by winning than losing. (Draft order.)
+4 North Carolina (4-10) vs Donelson (2-12)
Again, loser gains more.
+7 Dayton (5-9) vs San Pedro (8-6)
Corsairs on track for a wild card.
+9 Dakota (7-7) at NW Missouri (11-3)
Dakota in bloody fight for playoffs. Worthless game for NWM.
+10 Hermitage (9-5) at Tillman (14-0)
Tillman can coast giving Hermitage help for the Sanders division.
+12 Philadelphia (8-6) at Montcalm (8-6)
This will be brutal. Must win for both.
+16 Fresno (8-6) vs Great Lakes (11-3)
Unfortunate Outlaws caught in Great Lakes - Muncie playoff war.
+24 Wausau (5-9) at New England (6-8)
I think New England can make the playoffs but the Harris division blows my karma.

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