Sunday, December 28, 2008

TTFBA Round 1 Playoff Point Spreads

Week 16 Accuracy: 6 out of 12 (50%) More Embarrassed Than A Dallas Cowboy
Season Accuracy: 131 out of 192 (68%) Like Kurt Warner's completion percentage.
 
#3 Steeltown +1 vs #6 Montcalm
 
The home team Roughcut are a slight underdog at home against the Panthers. Both offenses can put up points (STE #4, MON #7) but both defenses are, at best, average. Steeltown is 16th in points allowed, permitting opponents an average of 23.6 pts per game. Montcalm allows a field goal less on average.
 
The Panthers' Willie Parker could have a good day against a porous RoughCut run defense but both defenses are terrible defending the pass. This could be a high scoring affair.
 
#5 Muncie +15 at #4 Great Lakes
This looks like a deja vu of the week 14 game between these division rivals when the Midshipmen won 24-10. Both defenses are excellent (MUN #1, GLM #3) but Great Lakes has scored more (#4 vs #12). Muncie's Peyton Manning has huge problems in both meetings this season, getting picked off 3 times in the loss. However, the Packers upset the Midshipmen in Week 1 as 12 point underdogs so anything can happen. 
 
#3 Knoxville +8 vs #6 New England
Another home team dissed in the point spread. What is odd is Knoxville is better statistically on both offense (#10 vs #13) and defense (#8 vs #15). The Smokies are vulnerable against a ground attack and the Generals are vulnerable against the pass.
 
#5 San Pedro +1 at #4 Philadelphia
The Liberty have a very good chance of going from 0-4 to playing in the Payton Conference championship (although if NW Missouri is there as well, the sunshiny days will come to an abrupt and devastating end - but let us not dwell on the possible negatives...) Philly swept division mate San Pedro during the regular season by a 10 point average with the Trent Duo Green and Dilfer both having success against an average (#10) Corsair defense. Although Philadelphia has one of the worst pass defenses in the league (#22) allowing 235 yards per game they don't let other teams score (#5) and are very good against the run (#4) allowing only 86 yards per game. Both offenses are unspectacular with the Liberty being the most unspectacular scoring only 15.5 points per game making them #19 in that category. Both teams have great running attacks coming in at #2 (SP) and #3 (PHI) yards. This is the game where you can see Adrian Peterson, Willis McGahee, Joseph Addai, Marion Barber and Michael Turner all in the same game.
 
 
 

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Interesting that both conferences each had a division with three playoff teams!

Also, another big congratulations to a mostly uncoached Knoxville team on turning the team around in such a short amount of time.

Very impressive.